As I’ve said before, Maine is essentially gone for Democrats. Texas is a long shot, with Democrat James Talarico constantly on defense for odd statements made in the past, including God being “non-binary,” the human race consisting of six genders, and Christianity actually being a religion that is pro-choice. Michigan may also flip red if radical Democratic Socialist Abdul el Sayed ends up being the nominee against a very capable Mike Rogers on the Republican side. Iowa and Ohio are up for grabs, but those are states won comfortably by Trump in 2024 as well. 

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In other words, it ain’t happening for the Blue Team in the Senate. 

So if everything holds, we’re looking at a Democratic House and a Republican Senate with a Republican White House. And given that Democrats stick together no matter what, Trump’s remaining agenda will be frozen for the remaining two years of his presidency, especially with the 2028 presidential race kicking off in early 2027. 

Bad news, right? The answer is yes and no. Yes, in the sense that Democrats are already running on only resisting Trump on hot-button issues such as ICE and sensible voting laws, and ridiculous non-issues such as fighting algae in the reflecting pool at the Washington Mall or Trump’s ballroom at the White House, all while promising to impeach him on Day 1. 

But the last part of that sentence also covers the “no” part of this scenario. As we’ve seen during the Trump era, stretching back ten years, and as is painfully apparent, Democrats have serious issues with containing their emotions. It is a party driven by likes and retweets on social media, or by one-sided “analysis” and panel discussions on MS Now and CNN. It is this confirmation bias-bubble that increasingly dictates the direction of the party, which likely explains why yet another impeachment of Trump is a top priority. 

But here’s what the good news is for Republicans, particularly as it pertains to JD Vance and/or Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election: By not governing and instead basking in the glow on cable news hits and viral moments on X, they will prove to be an unserious party with no solutions or optimism in the undying potential of an ongoing American experiment. 

Look at this past July 4 weekend. The de facto leader of the party, New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani, delivered on July 3 what was essentially an advance rebuttal to Trump’s speech at Mount Rushmore later that evening. Mamdani spoke of American exceptionalism only applying to the privileged few in playing the usual victimhood card, while Trump’s speeches, both in South Dakota and in Washington D.C., celebrated the United States as the greatest country to have ever existed while warning about the dangers of communism rising here via figures like Mamdani, whose socialist wing is engulfing the Democratic Party. 

Make no mistake: Democrats will impeach Trump starting about five minutes after the new Congress is sworn in. On cue, legacy media from CBS, NBC, ABC, CNN, MS NOW, the New York Times, and Washington Post will go wall-to-wall-wall, as they have in past Trump impeachments, regardless of exactly why Trump is being impeached in the first place. And the melodrama will reach the usual 12 on a scale of 1-10 as a result. 

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But as we’ve seen with other Trump impeachments, it’s just another episode of Seinfeld on Capitol Hill: a show about nothing. Because impeachment doesn’t mean expulsion from office. It takes a two-thirds vote in the Senate to accomplish that, and that’s simply never happening, regardless of who is president, given the uber-tribal nature of American politics. 

A Democrat-led impeachment not over anything resembling high crimes and misdemeanors will only hurt a party brand that is on life support right now. According to Quinnipiac, according to their own voters, Democrats are nine points underwater in terms of favorability. In October of 2025, that number was plus-22, marking a 31-point drop in less than two years. 

The revolt is real, coming from the radical socialist left, and given the money and organization is solidly behind the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) while the establishment Democratic National Committee is in debt, expect the number of socialists winning primaries over establishment incumbents to only continue at a dizzying and disturbing pace. 

So how will January 2027 to November 2028 play out with Dems running this circus in the House amid an intra-party civil war? Not remotely well. Socialists will likely reject the likely nominee (as of today’s polling) in Kamala Harris. And yes, Harris is the big favorite as it stands, according to several polls showing her with commanding leads over Gov. Gavin Newsom ranging from 14 to 22 points. A Harris campaign lasting 20 months will be bad enough, as evidenced by her showing in 2019 and 2024. Voters simply do not like her, trust her, or see understand her core principles, likely because they don’t exist. 

As a backdrop, impeachment efforts against Trump will fail despite all the hyperventilating from party leaders on social media and cable news. He will rightly use the occasion, as he did in 2024 during lawfare efforts, to portray himself and MAGA as the victims while also rightly accusing Democrats of weaponizing the justice system in the same manner third-world countries do. And it will be an effective argument, notably among people who don’t trust the government to be working in their best interests but only for their own unending quest for power.

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Any election comes down to peace and prosperity, of course, so no outcome is guaranteed. But Democrats in power may remind the country how they acted during the Biden-Harris years: Petulant. Myopic. All sound and fury signifying nothing. 

The betting markets say we’ll have a split Capitol Hill come 2027. For the GOP and its 2028 prospects, they actually may be a very good thing.