Peter Thiel estimates a 50% chance of socialist president in 2028

Peter Thiel estimates a 50% chance of a socialist president in 2028: ‘I’m still a Vance partisan’

Published September 25, 2026 5:41pm ET Updated September 25, 2026 5:41pm ET

Palantir cofounder Peter Thiel predicted there will be a 50-50 chance that a socialist candidate wins the presidency in 2028 against the Republican nominee, whether that is Vice President JD Vance or Secretary of State Marco Rubio.

Asked which administration official would be a better candidate to increase the Republican Party’s chances of winning the White House in two years, Thiel said on the MD MEETS — Essential Talks with Mathias Dopfner podcast: “I’m still a Vance partisan. I worry that it will be very hard for either candidate to win.”