Could the 2016 GOP primary end in a brokered convention? Mathematically, it is more likely now than in any time in recent history.
Red Alert Politics Editor Ron Meyer joined Abby Huntsman on Fox and Friends First (video) to explain the likelihood of a brokered convention and which candidate it would benefit most.
Meyer explained, “There are fewer winner-take-all states than there have been since then (1976). So, the RNC and local state parties went away from winner-take-all states after 2008. Only nine states are truly winner-take-alls — that’s only 17% of the delegates.”
That could spell trouble for Donald Trump’s march to the nomination. Meyer said:
If Rubio can pick off Florida or Kasich can pick off Ohio, some of these big winner-take-all states on March 15, Trump’s path to the nomination is much more complicated and could lead to a brokered convention.
If Donald Trump were to fail to reach 50 percent plus 1, this is what would happen at the convention:
Who would this benefit?
Rubio is in the best shape, because he is the second choice of most people right now. So, he’s polling well and is the top second choice — that plays really well in a convention.
