Beltway Confidential

India is on a path toward population contraction

By Timothy P. Carney
Published May 23, 2022 2:03pm ET
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India is on a path toward population contraction
People carry Indian flags as they walk to join others to form a human chain to mark the death anniversary of India's independence leader Mahatma Gandhi and to protest against a new citizenship law that opponents say threatens India's secular identity in Bangalore, India, Thursday, Jan. 30, 2020. The new citizenship law and a proposed National Register of Citizens have brought thousands of protesters out in the streets in many cities and towns since Parliament approved the measure on Dec. 11. | (Aijaz Rahi/AP)

Birthrates in India have been falling consistently for 60 years. But even if they were to stop falling magically right now and hit a plateau, India’s population would be shrinking 60 years from now.

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