Demographics are not destiny: California edition

Published September 15, 2021 3:55pm ET



Buried in the disappointment of California’s recall election results for Republicans is one data point that will further undercut a Democratic dream nationally, showing that demographics are not actually destiny.

Although Gavin Newsom saved his seat by a double-digit margin, the governor actually lost support among Latino and black voters relative to recent elections, according to exit polls. It’s important to note that the data from Tuesday is not conclusive, but even compared to early exit polling data in 2020, it helps make the case that the GOP’s gains with Latinos aren’t going away.

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