Poll: Clinton-Trump race too close to call

Published June 29, 2016 11:16am ET



The race between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump is now too close to call.

Clinton leads Trump 42-40 among registered voters in a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday, which means Clinton’s lead over Trump has shrunk over the last month. In a June 1 poll, Clinton led 45-41.

When third party candidates are added to Wednesday’s poll, Clinton and Trump both lose support, but Clinton still bests Trump, 39-37. Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson gets 8 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein gets 4 percent.

The poll also found American voters to be deeply divided along gender, race, age and party lines.

Women back Clinton 50-33, while men choose Trump 47-34.

White voters and voters over 65 years old lean toward Trump, as black, Hispanic and voters aged 18 to 34 choose Clinton.

Democrats prefer Clinton 89-3, and Republicans prefer Trump 84-6.

Independent voters are split, as 36 percent want Trump and 34 percent want Clinton.

However, a large majority of Americans — 61 percent — agree that the 2016 election has increased the level of hatred and prejudice in the country. When asked who to blame, 67 percent point their finger at the Trump campaign and 16 percent say Clinton.

Both candidates also get negative favorability ratings. Trump is seen positively by 34 percent of American voters and negatively by 57 percent. Clinton has similar ratings, 37-57.

Roughly half also say both Trump (58 percent) and Clinton (53 percent) will not be good presidents. More voters are likely to say Clinton will be a good president (43 percent) than Trump (35 percent).

American voters say Clinton is better prepared to be president than Trump (58-33), is more intelligent (53-33), and has higher moral standards (46-37).

However, voters say Trump is more honest and trustworthy (5-37), and is a stronger leader (49-43).

The poll telephone poll of 1,610 registered voters nationwide was conducted June 21-27 and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 2.4 percentage points.