Joe Biden is mostly missing during the coronavirus pandemic. It seems to be working for him.
Biden leads Trump significantly in all three polls since Bernie Sanders dropped out April 8. This includes two polls (NBC News and the Economist) of around 1,000 registered voters and one poll that included a screen for likely voters.
Recommended Stories
Biden is also outpolling Trump in plenty of states that Trump won in 2016. He leads Trump in all four Michigan polls since Super Tuesday, including a 49 to 41 lead in the most recent one: a Fox News poll conducted after Bernie dropped out. That poll also has Gov. Gretchen Whitmer with much higher approval ratings than Trump in Michigan.
In Pennsylvania, Biden is at or near 50% in both post-Bernie polls, while Trump is at 42%. In Arizona, Biden generally holds small leads.
Wisconsin has no polls in April, but Biden is leading in all recent polls there.
If Trump lost Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, he would be down to 260 Electoral College votes — 10 short of the needed 270.
Two other Trump-2016 states have mixed results. In Florida, Trump hasn’t led Biden in a poll since March 12. Of the three most recent polls, Biden leads in two, and both candidates are tied in a third. In North Carolina, the poll results are mixed.
The pattern here is that Trump is consistently in the low 40s in these swing states, which is bad. Biden is typically right around 50%. This is while Biden is mostly absent from the spotlight. Obviously, Biden cannot hide until Election Day, but as of now, it seems like Biden’s best tactic is to let Trump be Trump.
