Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are locked in a tight race six days before the California Democratic primary.
According to an NBC/WSJ/Marist poll released on Wednesday evening, Clinton leads Sanders just 49-47 among likely voters in the Golden State, which is within the margin of error. In a wider polling of all potential Democratic voters, Sander leads Clinton by one point, 48-47.
Among those who have previously voted in California, Clinton leads 58-41, but Sanders holds an advantage among first-time voters. Clinton leads Sanders among voters over age 45 (63-33), self-identified Democrats (57-40), women (54-41) and white voters (51-46). But Sanders leads Clinton among first time voters (72-28), independents (68-26), voters under age 45 (66-30), men (54-43) and Latinos (49-46).
In a general election, Sanders would do better than Clinton in California, as he leads Trump 62-28, but Clinton leads Trump only 55-31.
Although a narrow Sanders win in California would provide his campaign with momentum and a morale boost, it would not do much to change the delegate math as Clinton already has an insurmountable lead. By doing well in California, Sanders would likely stay in the race through the Democratic convention in Philadelphia this July.
