Richelieu: Romney, McCain, and Huckabee

A tough, tough night for Mitt Romney. He has to win Michigan now. If he pulls that off in a big upset, he may recover and do fine in the Saturday, January 19, Nevada caucuses. Don’t forget Nevada’s large LDS population. But the McCain media bounce from winning New Hampshire will be very strong and McCain has history in Michigan, having won there in 2000. Certainly the media will brutally flog Romney for losing two of his most-targeted states. They don’t believe in the silver medal. Internal strife is also growing inside the Romney campaign. But Mitt, like Hillary in New Hampshire, has seven days either to win the right to fight on, or face the bitter end. The question for McCain is whether he can expand his essentially one-state operation and start to run the table. Money should start pouring in now. If he can do this and win Michigan, he will be the new frontrunner heading into South Carolina and Florida, where Huckabee is planning his next big move.

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