MORE JAVELINS TO THE FRONT: With a short window of just a few weeks before Russian forces are in position to mount what is expected to be a full-scale offensive in eastern Ukraine, the U.S. is once again dipping into its stockpiles of deadly-effective Javelin tank-killer missiles to rush replacements to Ukraine.
“I have authorized, pursuant to a delegation from the President earlier today, the immediate drawdown of security assistance valued at up to $100 million to meet Ukraine’s urgent need for additional anti-armor systems,” said Secretary of State Antony Blinken in a statement last night. “This authorization is the sixth drawdown of arms, equipment, and supplies from Department of Defense inventories for Ukraine since August 2021.”
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The $100 million from current U.S. inventories comes on top of $300 million of weapons the Pentagon announced last week it is buying directly from manufacturers to send to Ukraine.
“I speak with my counterpart, Minister [Oleksii] Reznikov, frequently,” Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin told the Senate Armed Services Committee yesterday. “We do want to make sure we are meeting their needs, and we’re providing them the things that are most useful to their fight.”
PENTAGON ANNOUNCES AID OF $100 MILLION IN JAVELIN ANTI-ARMOR MISSILES TO UKRAINE
‘A PIVOT POINT IN THE GEOSTRATEGIC HISTORY’: “We are at, literally in my view, a pivot point in the geostrategic history of Europe for sure and perhaps the globe with this invasion of Ukraine,” said Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Mark Milley in his testimony before the committee. “We’ve got to do everything we can that’s possible without going to war with Russia to ensure the Ukrainian people remain free and sovereign. That’s really critically important to global security.”
Despite its recent setbacks, Milley warned that given Russia’s substantial military force and Putin’s expensive ambitions, the war in Ukraine could drag on for years.
“It’s a bit early still, even though we’re a month plus into the war, there is much of the ground war left in Ukraine,” Milley said. “But I do think this is a very protracted conflict. And I think it’s at least measured in years, I don’t know about decades, but at least years, for sure. This is a very extended conflict that Russia has initiated. And I think that NATO, the United States, Ukraine, and all of the allies and partners that are supporting Ukraine are going to be involved in this for quite some time.”
CZECH REPUBLIC EQUIPPING ‘HEAVY MECHANIZED BRIGADES’ IN RACE TO ARM UKRAINE
PERMANENT BASES NEEDED: The Russian invasion has created a new desire by NATO nations that border Ukraine and Russia for a more permanent U.S. military presence.
Milley testified that he favors a plan in which host countries would build and pay for permanent facilities, but U.S. troops would rotate in and out. “So you get the effect of permanence by rotational forces cycling through permanent bases. And what you don’t have to do is incur the cost of family moves, PXes, schools, housing, and that sort of thing.”
“I believe that a lot of our European allies — especially those such as in the Baltics or Poland or Romania or elsewhere — they are very, very willing to establish permanent bases. They’ll build them. They’ll pay for them, et cetera.”
Because of additional temporary deployment in response to the Russian invasion, the U.S. has some 100,000 troops in Europe, up from the 80,000 permanently stationed there.
‘I’M NOT SURE HE WAS DETERRABLE’: Milley also weighed in on the debate on whether crippling economic sanctions imposed on Russia before the invasion would have convinced Russian President Vladimir Putin to stand down.
“I think that with respect to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, it’s been a long-standing objective of Putin. And candidly, short of the commitment of U.S. military forces into Ukraine proper, I’m not sure he was deterrable,” Milley said.
“Sanctions have a very poor track record of deterring aggression, but they are a means of imposing significant cost,” he said. “The objective of the sanctions is to impose significant costs if he invaded. Those significant costs, the sanctions in combination with the export controls, are breaking the back of the Russian economy as we speak.”
ONLY THE MILITARY COULD HAVE DETERRED PUTIN FROM ATTACKING UKRAINE, MILLEY SAYS
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HAPPENING TODAY: Secretary of State Antony Blinken is in Brussels this morning for another urgent meeting of NATO foreign ministers. In remarks at Joint Base Andrews before he left Washington, Blinken said the horrors Russian troops have inflicted on civilians have reinforced “the determination of countries around the world to make sure that one way or another, one day or another, there is accountability for those who committed these acts, for those who ordered them.”
“What we’ve seen in Bucha is not the random act of a rogue unit. It’s a deliberate campaign to kill, to torture, to rape, to commit atrocities. The reports are more than credible. The evidence is there for the world to see,” Blinken said. “There’s also a strong determination to make sure that we’re doing everything we can to continue to support Ukraine in its brave fight to push the Russian aggression out of Ukraine.”
‘A NEW, VERY CONCENTRATED RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE’: “What we now see with this brutality is the scale and the scope of war that we haven’t seen in Europe since the Second World War. This is extremely serious. It’s horrific, said NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg in his pre-ministerial press conference.
“So allies will discuss how we can further support Ukraine. This is partly about financial support, partly about humanitarian support, but also, of course, partly about military support, both non-lethal and lethal,” Stoltenberg said, warning that Russia’s next offensive could be even deadlier than its failed attempt to take Kyiv.
“What we are expecting is a new, very concentrated Russian offensive in Donbas to try to occupy and take the whole of Donbas. That’s also the same area where Ukraine has most of their armed forces,” Stoltenberg said. “This whole buildup will take some time, the repositioning of the Russian troops will take some time, some weeks … In that window, it is extremely important that NATO allies provide support. So we are able to rearm, to resupply the Ukrainian forces.”
ZELENSKY’S POWERFUL CHALLENGE TO THE UN: A war-weary Volodymyr Zelensky addressed the United Nations yesterday, posing a provocative question: If the world body is powerless to act in the face of the horrific atrocities being committed against his country, what is the point of having the U.N.?
“I would like to remind you of Article 1, Chapter I of the U.N. Charter. What is the purpose of our organization? Its purpose is to maintain peace and make sure that peace is adhered to. And now, the U.N. Charter is violated literally, starting with Article 1. And if so, what is the point of all other articles?” Zelensky told the U.N. Security Council in a video address from Kyiv.
“Russian troops are deliberately destroying Ukrainian cities to ashes with artillery and airstrikes. They are deliberately blocking cities, creating mass starvation in them. They are deliberately shooting at columns of civilians on the roads who are trying to escape from the territory of hostilities. They are even deliberately blowing up shelters where civilians are hiding from airstrikes.”
“I am addressing you on behalf of the people who honor the memory of the deceased every day. Every day, in the morning. The memory of the killed civilians. Who were shot in the back of the head or in the eye after being tortured. Who were shot just on the streets. Who were thrown into the well, so that they die there in suffering. Who were killed in apartments, houses, blown up by grenades. Who were crushed by tanks in civilian cars in the middle of the road. For fun. Whose limbs were cut off, whose throat was cut. Who were raped and killed in front of their own children. Their tongues were torn out only because they did not hear from them what they wanted to hear. How is this different from what the ISIS terrorists were doing in the occupied territory? Except that it is done by a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council.”
AFTER RUSSIAN WAR CRIMES SURFACE, ZELENSKY URGES THE WEST TO TAKE ACTION
WILL CONGRESS SAVE THE SLCM-N? Russian President Vladimir Putin’s no-so-veiled threat to use low-yield “tactical” nuclear weapons on the battlefield under Russia’s escalate-to-de-escalate doctrine has many in Congress questioning the Biden administration’s plan to scrap the plans for a submarine-launched nuclear cruise missile with a low-yield warhead to signal Putin that the U.S. can match him weapon for weapon.
The SLCM-N, or “slick-em,” as it’s pronounced, was authorized during the Trump administration, and under questioning, Milley admitted he still favors adding the option to America’s nuclear arsenal.
“My position on SLCM-N has not changed,” Milley said. “My general view is that this president, or any president, deserves to have multiple options to deal with national security situations, and my advice is listened to, and I have an opportunity to express my voice on a continuous basis many, many times.”
“But it’s also a moot point,” Milley said later in the hearing. “I’m here to defend the president’s budget. The president’s already made a decision.”
“It’s not actually a moot point,” replied Committee Chairman Adam Smith, a Washington state Democrat, noting that there will be a robust debate about retaining the program. “We’re still going to fight about it up here.”
In a letter to Congress, U.S. Strategic Commander Adm. Chas Richard, commander of America’s nuclear forces, warned of “deterrence gap” with Russia and China.
“While I am satisfied USSTRATCOM priorities are adequately addressed, the current situation in Ukraine and China’s nuclear trajectory convinces me a deterrence and assurance gap exists,” Richard wrote. “To address this gap, a low-yield, non-ballistic capability to deter and respond without visible generation is necessary to provide a persistent, survivable, regional capability to deter adversaries, assure allies, provide flexible options, as well as complement existing capabilities.”
PENTAGON OFFICIALS DISAGREE WITH BIDEN PROPOSAL TO SHELVE TRUMP-ERA SEA NUCLEAR MISSILE
STRANGE BEDFELLOWS: Fox News still has a few defenders of Russian President Vladimir Putin, but prime-time host Sean Hannity isn’t one of them.
In what has to be one of the more unusual alliances, left-wing actor and documentary filmmaker Sean Penn, just back from Ukraine, joined Hannity on set last night to discuss the horrific war crimes being perpetrated on Ukrainian civilians trapped in the war zone.
The interview began with Hannity noting that “99 out of 100 times, we probably would be in full disagreement,” but said he felt compelled to call Penn and invite him on the show. “Do you remember what you first said to me?” he asked Penn.
“I said that I don’t trust you,” Penn replied, but added, “I don’t think that we, I have got time to indulge my lack of trust, which it becomes a petty thing, as people and babies are being vaporized.”
From there, the discussion moved to the humanitarian suffering in Ukraine, and the two unlikely allies found common ground.
“As a conservative — forget our political differences — I don’t want to see one more dead kid in a street, one more innocent woman or man dead. I don’t want to see any more images in my lifetime of mass graves like we’re seeing,” said Hannity, following a long discussion of the best way for the U.S. to help Ukraine defeat Russia.
“Here is what we have to know, is that the Ukrainians are fighting to win,” said Penn. “And they’re fighting to win for the very thing that we’re able to do right now, to be free, to dream. And that is what we say we represent as Americans.”
FORMER MARIUPOL RESIDENT ‘CAN’T DESCRIBE THE HORROR’ SHE WITNESSED IN UKRAINE
The Rundown
Washington Examiner: Eight Russian cruise missiles fired from Belarus shot down: Ukraine Air Force
Washington Examiner: Drone footage shows Russian trenches in radioactive Chernobyl Exclusion Zone
Washington Examiner: Pentagon announces aid of $100 million in Javelin anti-armor missiles to Ukraine
Washington Examiner: Czech Republic equipping ‘heavy mechanized brigades’ in race to arm Ukraine
Washington Examiner: Only the military could have deterred Putin from attacking Ukraine, Milley says
Washington Examiner: Former Mariupol resident ‘can’t describe the horror’ she witnessed in Ukraine
Washington Examiner: After Russian war crimes surface, Zelensky urges the West to take action
Washington Examiner: White House declines to call for Putin regime change after Bucha
Washington Examiner: Lawmakers scramble to avert global food shortage
Washington Examiner: Driver dies ramming car into gates of Russian Embassy in Romania
Washington Examiner: Pentagon officials disagree with Biden proposal to shelve Trump-era sea nuclear missile
Washington Examiner: Pentagon officials acknowledge budget not updated with latest inflation rates
Washington Examiner: ‘Embarrassed by your leadership’: Gaetz blasts Austin’s ‘wokeism’
Military Times: Biden to nominate first uniformed woman to lead a military service
Washington Post: NATO Says Ukraine To Decide On Peace Deal With Russia — Within Limits
Defense News: Pentagon kept hypersonic test quiet amid Russia tensions
Financial Times: Biden Announces U.S., U.K. And Australia Co-Operation On Hypersonic Weapons
Navy Times: A Ship That Can’t Combat Threats ‘Doesn’t Do Me Good’
Military.com: After A Barrage Of Editorials And Critiques, Marine Leaders Defend Restructuring Plan
Seapower Magazine: Assistant Commandant: Marines Must Be Ready To Fight China, Other Adversaries Directly
National Defense Magazine: Lawmakers Express Discontent With Navy Budget Request
Reuters: U.S. Approves $95 Mln Boost To Taiwan’s Air Defense System
Air Force Magazine: GBSD Finally Gets a Name: ‘Sentinel’
Breaking Defense: Navy Quietly Declares Aircraft Carrier Ford Operational
Air Force Magazine: US Must ‘Slash Costs’ to Afford Space Superiority, Raymond Says
Air Force Magazine: US Space Command Formalizes Strategy to Buy More Commercial Satellite Services
Air Force Magazine: C-17 Crew Who Saved 153 During Afghanistan Evacuation Awarded Distinguished Flying Cross
19fortyfive.com: Why Israel Isn’t Giving Military Aid to Ukraine
19fortyfive.com: Russia Created Torture Chambers in Ukraine
The Cipher Brief: Opinion: What You Need to Know about U.S. Nuclear Weapons in Wartime
Forbes: Opinion: The Nuclear Delusion At The Heart Of The 2022 National Defense Strategy
Calendar
WEDNESDAY | APRIL 6
7 a.m. — Day Two of the Navy League of the United States 2022 Sea-Air-Space Symposium, Rear Adm. Douglas Schofield, assistant commandant for acquisition and chief acquisition officer at the Coast Guard; Coast Guard Commandant Adm. Karl Schultz; Vice Adm. Paul Thomas, deputy Coast Guard commandant for mission support; James Balocki, deputy assistant Navy secretary for installations, energy and facilities; Marine Corps Maj. Gen. David Maxwell, vice director of logistics, Joint Staff; Navy Rear Adm. Peter Stamatopoulos, commander of naval supply systems command and chief of supply corps; Anthony Fisher, deputy associate administrator for commercial sealift at the Maritime Administration; Sandra Kline, director of installation resilience and assistant Navy secretary for installations, energy and facilities; James Balocki, deputy assistant Navy secretary for installations, energy and facilities; retired Navy Adm. James Stavridis, vice chairman of global affairs at the Carlyle Group and former supreme allied commander of NATO; retired Navy Adm. John Richardson, former chief of naval operations; and retired Navy Adm. James Foggo, dean of the Center for Maritime Strategy at the Navy League of the United States. https://seaairspace.org
8 a.m. NATO headquarters, Brussels — Day One of an in-person meeting of NATO foreign ministers chaired by the NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/news
8:30 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies and the U.S.-ASEAN Business Council two-day virtual U.S.-Indo-Pacific Conference, with former Deputy Defense Secretary John Hamre, CSIS president and CEO; Jose Fernandez, undersecretary of state for economic growth, energy, and the environment; Lesley Bearman Lahm, representative at the Asian Development Bank’s North American Representative Office; Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, ranking member of the Senate Finance Committee International Trade, Customs, and Global Competitiveness Subcommittee; Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo; and Paul Myler, deputy chief of mission at the Embassy of Australia https://www.csis.org/events/us-indo-pacific-conference
10 a.m. SH-216 — Senate Select Committee on Intelligence open nomination hearing for Kate Heinzelman to be general counsel of the Central Intelligence Agency https://www.intelligence.senate.gov
10 a.m. 222 Russell — Senate Armed Services Personnel Subcommittee hearing on suicide prevention and related behavioral health interventions in the Defense Department, with testimony from Karin Orvis, director of the Defense Department’s Defense Suicide Prevention Office; Richard Mooney, acting deputy assistant Defense secretary for health services policy and oversight; Michael Roark, deputy inspector general in the Defense Department’s Evaluations Component; Brenda Farrell, director of defense capabilities and management in the Government Accountability Office; Chris Ford, CEO of Stop Soldier Suicide; P. Murali Doraiswamy, professor of psychiatry and medicine at the Duke University School of Medicine; and Craig Bryan, director of the Ohio State University College of Medicine’s Division of Recovery and Resilience and Suicide Prevention Program http://www.armed-services.senate.gov
10 a.m. Colorado Springs, Colorado — Space Foundation two-day 37th Space Symposium, with Deputy NASA Administrator Pam Melroy; Space Force Brig. Gen. Jason Cothern, deputy commander at the Space Systems Command; Space Development Agency Director Derek Tournear; Space Force Maj. Gen. DeAnna Burt, commander of the Combined Force Space Component Command at the Space Command and deputy commander of the Space Force Space Operations Command; Space Force Lt. Gen. Stephen Whiting, commander of the Space Operations Command; Army Lt. Gen. Daniel Karbler, commanding general of the U.S. Army Space and Missile Defense Command; Navy Rear Adm. Will Pennington, deputy commander of the 10th Fleet; and Space Force Lt. Gen. John Shaw, deputy commander of the U.S. Space Command https://www.spacesymposium.org/fees-tickets-and-policies
12 p.m. — Hudson Institute virtual discussion: “China, Technology, and Mass Surveillance,” with Rep. Mark Green, R-Tenn. https://www.hudson.org/events/2094-virtual-event-china-technology
12 p.m. — American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research virtual discussion: “War in Ukraine: Russian losses, Ukrainian victory, and the information war,” with George Barros, researcher at the Institute for the Study of War; Jamie Fly, president at Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty; Frederick Kagan, director of the AEI Critical Threats Project; and Danielle Pletka, senior fellow at AEI https://www.aei.org/events/war-in-ukraine
1 p.m. House Triangle, U.S. Capitol — House Foreign Affairs Committee Republicans news conference on Iran and “why this potential agreement is so dangerous for the United States and our partners,” with House Foreign Affairs ranking member Michael McCaul, R-Texas; Rep. Joe Wilson, R-S.C.; Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Calif.; Rep. Lee Zeldin, R-N.Y.; Rep. Tim Burchett, R-Tenn.; Rep. Mark Green, R-Tenn.; Rep. Dan Meuser, R-Pa.; Rep. Claudia Tenney, R-N.Y.; Rep. August Pfluger, R-Texas; Rep. Nicole Malliotakis, R-N.Y.; and Rep. Young Kim, R-Calif.
2 p.m. 2118 Rayburn — House Armed Services Subcommittee on Strategic Forces hearing: “Fiscal Year 2023 Strategic Forces National Security Space Programs,” with testimony from John Plumb, Assistant Secretary of Defense for Space Policy; Air Force Lt. Gen. Guetlein, commander, U.S. Space System Command; Tonya Wilkerson, deputy director, National Geospatial Agency; Christopher Scolese, director, National Reconnaissance Office; and Jon Ludwigson, director, Contracting and National Security Acquisitions, Government Accountability Office https://armedservices.house.gov/hearings
2:30 p.m. 222 Russell — Senate Armed Services Emerging Threats and Capabilities Subcommittee hearing on the Department of Defense’s posture for supporting and fostering innovation, with testimony from Heidi Shyu, Defense undersecretary for Research and Engineering; Stefanie Tompkins, director of the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; and Michael Brown, director of the Defense Innovation Unit http://www.armed-services.senate.gov
3 p.m. — Washington Post Live virtual discussion: “Why Ukraine should have been in the European Union and NATO a long time ago,” with Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, R-Pa., co-chair of the Congressional Ukraine Caucus https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live
THURSDAY | APRIL 7
1:30 a.m. NATO headquarters, Brussels — Day Two of an in-person meeting of NATO foreign ministers, a special session including ministers from Australia, Finland, Georgia, Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, Sweden, Ukraine, the European Union and the European Commission. NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg will brief reporters at the conclusion of the meeting https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/news
8:30 a.m. Burlington, Massachusetts — National Defense Industrial Association New England Chapter annual cyber event, “Zero Trust & CMMC 2.0: Improving the Nation’s Cybersecurity,” with Rep. Seth Moulton, D-Mass.; Brian Hermann, director of the Defense Information Systems Agency’s Cybersecurity & Analytics Directorate; and Stacy Bostjanick, CMMC director and chief of implementation and policy in the Office of the Defense Department CIO https://ndianewengland.org/index.php/event
9 a.m. — Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies Nuclear Deterrence and Missile Defense Forum event with David Trachtenberg, vice president, National Institute for Public Policy https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register
9:30 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Commercial Wireless Networks and National Defense: Emerging Requirements, Challenges, and Opportunities,” with Terry Halvorsen, general manager for client solutions and development leader at IBM’s U.S. Federal and Public Sector; Callie Field, president of T-Mobile’s Business Group; and Maj. Gen. Robert Wheeler, deputy chief information officer for command, control, communications and computers and information infrastructure capabilities at the Defense Department https://www.csis.org/events/commercial-wireless-networks
10 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “North Korea’s latest missile threat,” with Sydney Seiler, national intelligence officer for North Korea at the National Intelligence Council https://www.csis.org/events/capital-cable-45-sydney-seiler
10 a.m. — Heritage Foundation virtual discussion: “The Chinese Communist Party’s 20th Party Congress: What to Expect and the Implications for Washington,” with Joseph Fewsmith III, professor of international relations and political science at Boston University; Willy Wo-Lap Lam, senior fellow at the Jamestown Foundation; and Michael Cunningham, visiting fellow at the Heritage Asian Studies Center https://www.heritage.org/asia/event/the-ccps-20th-party-congress
12 p.m. — New America virtual discussion: “Targeting Putin’s Wallets: Exploring the Impact of Sanctions on Russian Oligarchs,” with Brian O’Toole, nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics Center; Luke Harding, foreign correspondent at the Guardian; and Candace Rondeaux, senior fellow at Arizona State University’s Center on the Future of War https://www.newamerica.org/new-america/events/targeting-putins-wallets
2:30 p.m. 1030 15th Street N.W. — Atlantic Council virtual discussion: “Managing strategic competition to avoid a U.S.-China war,” with former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, president and CEO of the Asia Society and author of The Avoidable War: The Dangers of a Catastrophic Conflict between the U.S. and Xi Jinping’s China https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/managing-strategic-competition
FRIDAY | APRIL 8
8:30 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Responsible Artificial Intelligence in a Global Context,” with Brad Smith, president and vice chair at the Microsoft Corporation; Julie Sweet, chair and CEO at Accenture; Gregory Allen, director of strategy and policy at the Defense Department’s Joint Artificial Intelligence Center; Mignon Clyburn, former commissioner at the Federal Communications Commission; and Helen Toner, director of strategy at Georgetown University’s Center for Security and Emerging Technology https://www.csis.org/events/responsible-ai-global-context
8:30 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Strategic Japan 2022: Competition in New Domains,” with Tatsushi Amano, director general at the Japan Bank for International Cooperation’s Strategic Research Department; Mihoko Matsubara, chief cybersecurity strategist at the NTT Corporation; Fukunari Kimura, professor at Keio University; and Sugio Takahashi, head of the National Institute for Defense Studies’ Defense Policy Division https://www.csis.org/events/strategic-japan-2022-competition-new-domains
10 a.m. Chicago, Illinois — The Atlantic and the University of Chicago’s Institute of Politics virtual conference: “Disinformation and the Erosion of Democracy,” with Rep. Adam Kinzinger, R-Ill., participates in a discussion on “Targeted by Lies: How Disinformation Spurs Political Violence” https://www.theatlantic.com/live/disinformation-democracy
WEDNESDAY | APRIL 13
12 p.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies “Smart Women, Smart Power” online conversation,” with Stacey Dixon, principal deputy director of national intelligence https://www.csis.org/events/conversation-dr-stacey-dixon
QUOTE OF THE DAY
“The memory of the killed civilians. Who were shot in the back of the head or in the eye after being tortured. Who were shot just on the streets. Who were thrown into the well, so that they die there in suffering. Who were killed in apartments, houses, blown up by grenades. Who were crushed by tanks in civilian cars in the middle of the road. For fun. Whose limbs were cut off, whose throat was cut. Who were raped and killed in front of their own children.”
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, addressing the U.N. Security Council Tuesday.
