Brian Kemp up by 12 points? Is it an outlier, or is it the only accurate poll?

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Georgia gubernatorial candidate Brian Kemp now has a 12-point lead on his Democratic opponent, Stacey Abrams, according to a survey published this weekend by the polling firm Trafalgar Group.

Compared to all the other polls, this one looks nuts. Or could it be a sign of a much bigger problem for the Democratic Party, and not just because of what the survey says about Georgia?

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