Restoring America

Conservative values, National renewal

How Trump shifted the electoral map and expanded his coalition

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By all measures, last Tuesday was a stellar night for President-elect Donald Trump. His victory surpassed all expectations. He swept the battleground states: Arizona by 5.6 percentage points, Georgia by 2.2, Michigan by 1.4, Nevada by 3.1, North Carolina by 3.4, Pennsylvania by 2.1, and Wisconsin by 0.9. He even won the popular vote by more than 2 points. The last Republican candidate to do so was then-President George W. Bush in 2004.

Trump predictably dominated in red states, including Florida, where he won by double digits. Likewise, he won Iowa by 13.2 points despite the shock poll from the Des Moines Register’s Ann Selzer that dropped the weekend before the election. Her poll showed that Vice President Kamala Harris was ahead of Trump by 3 points in the Hawkeye State. Given Selzer’s long history of accuracy and integrity, the poll caused quite a stir.

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