Democrats have gained ground in two gubernatorial races as nonpartisan political analysis, Cook Political Report, shifted the Nebraska and Kansas races in the party’s favor.
According to CPR, the party is slated to win two chief executive seats currently held by Republicans. The partisan split in governors’ mansions is 26-24, with the GOP in the lead, but a particularly bad election could see the party lose as many as four seats.
On the chopping block are Iowa, Alaska, and Ohio, with Georgia also seeing the possibility of going for Democrats.
The pollster shifted the Nebraska governor’s race from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican,” and the Kansas race was moved from “lean Republican” to “toss-up.”
The GOP appears to have lost some of its edge in Kansas, as CPR shifted the race in favor of Democrat Cindy Holscher as she takes on Republican nominee Ty Masterson, who has the backing of President Donald Trump. The pollster said the reason for the shift in part has to do with the state’s competitive Senate race growing closer in recent weeks.
“Republicans still feel optimistic about flipping this race, and it remains their best takeover opportunity, but the volatility of the contest merits it being in a more competitive column,” CPR said.
In the Cornhusker State, Gov. Jim Pillen (R-NE) is facing Democratic challenger Lynne Walz, as well as two other candidates from the state’s America First Party and the Legal Marijuana Now party.
“The crowded ballot and Pillen’s unpopularity create enough uncertainty that we are moving it into a more competitive category,” CPR said in its analysis.
Should Democrats win between two and four governorships in the midterm elections, it will mark the first time the party holds more chief executives than the GOP since 2010.