GOP Keeps Mulvaney’s Seat in South Carolina, But Just Barely

In the race to fill the seat vacated by President Trump’s budget director, Republican real estate developer Ralph Norman on Tuesday beat his Democratic opponent in South Carolina’s 5th congressional district.

Like the results of other special elections this year, the result was tighter than anticipated. In a district President Trump won by 20 points in November, Norman won by fewer than 4 points over Democrat Archie Parnell with 99 percent of precincts reporting. That big swing toward Democrats represents a huge moral victory for a party presumed to have no chance at winning. But it will also go down as another loss.

Before Tuesday’s election, the contest to fill Rep. Mick Mulvaney’s seat in South Carolina was generally viewed as having little national significance. It attracted only a fraction of the money and attention lavished on Georgia’s 6th district, for instance. A poll in May had Norman leading by 10 points. Parnell said he felt momentum shifting his way, but he fell short by fewer than 3,000 votes. Voter turnout was about 18 percent.

The solidly Republican district stretches from the fast-growing northern suburban towns just across the border from Charlotte, N.C., toward Columbia, picking up a handful of rural counties..

Norman is viewed as a conservative who battled against wasteful spending in the statehouse and was one of only three legislators to earn an “A” from South Carolina’s Club for Growth. He made no secret of the fact that he supports President Trump. Trump tweeted Monday that Norman “will be a fantastic help to me in cutting taxes and getting great border security and healthcare. #VoteRalphNorman” In the last week, Trump recorded robocalls to the district on Norman’s behalf.

A WEEKLY STANDARD article on the race earlier this month described Norman’s outlook:

Norman sounds polished. He seems most at ease talking about traditional conservative issues: cutting spending, balancing the budget, fully funding the military, repealing and replacing Obamacare, enacting tort reform. He’d like to see Congress make an effort on term limits, and he supports entitlement reform. His campaign website says he favors raising the retirement age by two months and lowering benefits for the top 10 percent of earners to keep Social Security solvent. He’s less talkative, though, about social issues. He considers himself a pro-life Christian—a de facto job requirement for Republicans in these parts—and hands over a mailer his campaign sent out with a big photo of a swaddled infant that calls Norman “the proven pro-life leader we need in Congress.” Those seeking stinging rebukes of Trump, though, will have to look elsewhere. Trump, Norman points out, has put a conservative on the Supreme Court and will sign legislation coming from a Republican Congress. Last fall, he says, the choice was clear. “Hillary Clinton, had she won, the country would have been pretty well destroyed, by my way of thinking,” he says. “Now, we have a mandate to move forward with conservative ideas.” … Should he win the June 20 election, he says he will be proud to join the House Freedom Caucus, the group of about 30 conservatives that pushes legislation rightward and has been a thorn in the side of House leadership.

Parnell, a 66-year-old tax lawyer, was making his first run for office.

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