New polls are out. In Iowa, Zogby has it 28 percent Clinton, 25 percent Obama, 21 percent Edwards. Hillary, call your office: This is the second Iowa poll in two weeks showing Clinton and Obama in a statistical tie. A third poll, from ARG in late October, shows a wider Clinton lead at 32 HRC, 22 Obama, 15 Edwards. I put more faith in Zogby. What’s also interesting about the Zogby data is that they have included a second-choice question, which attempts to model the special voting dynamics of the Iowa caucus. It projects a very tight race at 30 percent for Clinton, 29 percent for Obama, and 27 percent for Edwards. More proof that the relentless talk from the chattering class about Hillary Clinton’s “inevitability” as the Democratic nominee is not connected to reality. If Clinton loses Iowa as I think she very well may, she’ll be toast. Good news for Romney in New Hampshire, where robo-Rasmussen now has him at 32 percent and Rudy and McCain tied for second at 17 and 16 percent, respectively. Huckabee is now at 10 percent in New Hampshire, passing Fred Thompson at 7 percent. Prediction: Soon we’ll see a new public poll out of Iowa showing Huckabee moving up close to Romney. That’ll trigger some elbows.
