Joe Trippi: Edwards Could Have Won the Nomination

Joe Trippi served as a senior adviser to John Edwards before he gave up his presidential bid earlier this year. In the journal Politics, Trippi laments that he didn’t press Edwards to stay in the race:

I didn’t tell him what I should have told him: That I had this feeling that if he stayed in the race he would win 300 or so delegates by Super Tuesday and have maybe a one-in-five chance of forcing a brokered convention. That there was a path ahead that would be extremely painful, but could very well put him and his causes at the top of the Democratic agenda. And that in politics anything can happen-even the possibility that in an open convention with multiple ballots an embattled and exhausted party would turn to him as their nominee. I should have closed my eyes to the pain I saw around me on the campaign bus, including my own. I should have told him emphatically that he should stay in. My regret that I did not do so-that I let John Edwards down-grows with every day that the fight between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama continues.

But would things have turned out much differently if Edwards had remained in the race? Let’s assume for a minute that Edwards would have remained an afterthought through Super Tuesday and beyond. He would have had a few hundred delegates. Obama likely would have had a lead in total delegates, but — as now — would have needed a large chunk of the superdelegates to give him the nomination. So what changes? Obama would still have argued that his lead in pledged delegates should earn him the nomination — regardless of what the superdelegates thought about his electability, or who won the popular vote. That’s Obama’s argument now, and no one seems willing to disagree. And amidst all the recent debate over what the delegates would do if Obama appeared too wounded to win the general election, has anyone suggested nominating the 3rd place finisher?

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