A new poll finds President Trump with a 7-point lead over Joe Biden in 15 swing states, despite losing nationally by 5 points.
The survey, conducted by the research company SSRS for CNN, found that 52% of voters in swing states back Trump for reelection, with 45% supporting the vice president. In a national head-to-head matchup, 51% of voters prefer Biden and 46% plan on voting for Trump.
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The swing states included in the poll are Arizona, Florida, Colorado, Georgia, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin.
The firm interviewed 1,112 adults by telephone for the poll, which has a 3.7% margin of error.
Much of Trump’s advantage in swing states stems from younger voters, who narrowly favor him over Biden. Nationally, Biden leads Trump with women 55% to 41%, and with people of color 69% to 26%. Among men, Trump wins 50% of their support to Biden’s 46%.
White voters also favor Trump 55% to 43%, and the two are nearly tied with voters under the age of 45, at 49% for Biden and 46% for Trump.
Trump’s strengths lie in how voters view his handling of the economy, with 54% saying they trust him more than Biden. The former vice president, however, is more trusted to handle the coronavirus outbreak at 51% to Trump’s 45%.
Questions about Biden’s fitness for office have clearly entered the voters’ minds, with 46% saying they think Biden has the “stamina and sharpness to be president,” compared to 49% saying the same for Trump.
The last CNN poll, conducted in April, had Biden leading Trump by 11 points nationally. That survey found 53% of voters backing Biden, compared to 42% for Trump.
A RealClearPolitics average of polls taken in late April and May has Biden leading by 4.5 points, with 47.7% of the vote.
