New French Battle Lines

France’s reunification into the NATO command hierarchy seems to be just a small part of an ambitious new defense plan.

Last week Sarkozy announced a radical restructuring of the French armed forces, and at the beginning of July, France will take over the rotating presidency of the European Union with an agenda intended to put Paris front and center in the Union long after it gives up its six-month seat in Brussels. The plan would make France the first among (un)equals in an ever-tighter alliance for defense as well as trade. Only Britain has comparable military forces, and Sarkozy wants to make sure his are the most effective. “France has to change to remain itself,” Sarkozy told his generals, many of whom fear budget cuts will come quickly but improvements will not.

Sounds exciting. But the language sounds vaguely familiar. Details?

The clearest outline of Sarkozy’s foreign-policy and defense ambitions came in the speech he delivered to the French military elite last week, in which he shifted priorities away from resisting invasion, which ceased to be a threat 15 years ago, and emphasized flexibility in an uncertain world where dangers have become “diverse and ever-changing.” By slashing the number of soldiers to 225,000 over the next half-dozen years and focusing on a smaller, lighter military, he hopes to be able to finance better intelligence gathering that anticipates threats, whether from terrorists, failed states, nuclear proliferators, cyberwarriors or climate change.

Ah ha. It’s Rumsfeld v2.0. The whole Rumsfeldian “lighter, leaner” plan was the new defense hotness for a time, right up until it hit the brick wall that was the Iraqi insurgency. Now the Army, Marine Corps, Navy, and even the Air Force (post-purges) are bulking up for the first time in 15 years. Technology, advanced that it may be, simply can not replace boots on the ground. Not when 100 dollar insurgent bombs kill 1 million dollar weapon systems. Light and leaner failed the US military. But, interestingly enough, it might work for France. The Fifth Republic hasn’t done much conquering in the last few decades, so they don’t really need a sizable occupation force. Sarkozy’s plan, to use superbly equipped and supplied French troops to shore up overall NATO efforts (like Afghanistan), may be just what the doctor ordered for both France and the alliance. Paris knows that it’s unlikely that they’ll be fighting a major theater war without the massive US military backing them up, so they’re posturing their forces to be -surprise!- a more effective team player. This coming from France of all places. Whodda thunk it?

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