Yesterday, in the boss’s newsletter Kristol Clear (sign up here for free!) we sent out a new twist on our traditional newsletter straw poll: A prediction market game.
If you’re anxious to start playing now, click here, but we’d recommend reading Bill’s description of the game below:
We all have our electoral hopes and political preferences. But we also thought it might be interesting to give all of you a chance to participate in a “prediction market”–sort of like the candidate casino you’ve seen Steve Hayes, Charles Krauthammer and others engage in on Fox News’s Special Report. Unlike our past surveys where we ask for your preference among the candidates, in this prediction market you’re asked “who is going to win?” You’ll have 100 tokens (call them “Kristol Clear Tokens” if you like) to bet on the outcomes. And unlike candidate casino, but like betting on horse races or football games, this is a market where the odds adjust as you bet. So the final result captures the crowd consensus as to what the result will be. Please read the instructions when you enter the game–and remember, you’re betting on the odds (probability) that a candidate will win, not whom you want to win. I thank our friends at Consensus Point for offering their platform for this WEEKLY STANDARD political prediction game. We’ll share the results with you in the newsletter next Monday and we’ll all see how the collective wisdom of the TWS crowd does compared to the actual on Tuesday. Click on this link to get started!
