Coakley: “We think the polls are inaccurate,” she continued. “It’s just very difficult to figure out in a short race, special election, in a state race we’ve never had before. So until those votes are counted tomorrow, I don’t think anybody knows what’s going to happen.”
Carville’s poll shows trouble for Dems: The survey also confirms the continued deterioration of the standing of Democrat House incumbents. In a comparable Democracy Corps survey conducted last August, likely voters had a warm attitude toward their incumbent House Democrat by a margin of 18 points. For Republicans incumbents, the number was 16. In the current survey by contrast, likely voters gave their Republican incumbent a 19-point edge, while Democrats slipped to 11 points. That’s a shift of 10 percentage points in the relative standing of the two parties in a little more than 4 months.
