A new CNN/ORC poll released Tuesday shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton in a four-way presidential race. And in a reversal of what had been true in most 2016 polling, Clinton’s favorables are worse than Trump’s.
Trump leads Clinton among likely voters, 45 percent to 43 percent, but trails her among registered voters, 41 percent to 44 percent. A rising majority also say they think Clinton will win in November—59 percent, up from 55 percent in June.
However, likely voters reported having a more favorable view of Trump than Clinton. 45 percent said they had a favorable view of Trump, while only 42 percent said the same of Clinton. More respondents also said they had an unfavorable view of Clinton—56 percent—than said the same of Trump—54 percent. Among registered voters, Clinton’s favorables have been trending downward and unfavorables have been trending upward. Trump’s respective numbers tend to fluctuate more, but show the opposite trend.
The data is more pronounced among vice presidential candidates, as 46 percent of respondents reported having a favorable view of Mike Pence, and only 38 percent of Tim Kaine. However, the poll showed Pence’s unfavorables 3 percentage points higher than Kaine’s.
The new poll also shows both Gary Johnson and Jill Stein down among registered voters. Johnson’s numbers fell to 9 percent from 13 percent after mid-July and appear to have stayed there. Stein seemed to have peaked in June at 7 percent and is now at 3 percent. Among likely voters, Johnson and Stein are at 7 percent and 2 percent, respectively.
