We won’t know who has won Hawaii’s special congressional election to replace Democrat Neil Abercrombie until May 22, but by the end of next week most voters will have cast their ballots. The state election board will mail out ballots to every registered voter in the First District today, April 30.
The mail-in election would normally give Democrats–who aren’t as enthusiastic about turning out to the polls as Republican voters right now–another advantage in this district that Obama carried 70 percent to 28 percent in 2008. But Republicans have a great shot of winning the race because there are two Democrats splitting the vote in a three-way race.
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