NYT Good News Watch

You have to love reading the New York Times for novel coverage of the war in Iraq. In this case, the piece by the ever downbeat Alissa J. Rubin notes that there are signs the surge is working:

Nearly two months into the new security push in Baghdad, there has been some success in reducing the number of death squad victims found crumpled in the streets each day.

And while the overall death rates for all of Iraq have not dropped significantly, largely because of devastating suicide bombings, a few parts of the capital have become calmer as some death squads have decided to lie low.

That’s the end of the good news however, because even after seven weeks of success, there’s still no political solution:

But there is little sign that the Baghdad push is accomplishing its main purpose: to create an island of stability in which Sunni Arabs, Shiite Arabs and Kurds can try to figure out how to run the country together. There has been no visible move toward compromise on the main dividing issues, like regional autonomy and more power sharing between Shiites and Sunnis.

Rome was not built in a day, and even the U.S. Articles of Confederation lingered for 12 years before they were corrected. But what’s the timetable for solving Iraq? Seven weeks, apparently. I really like this part:

American commanders say it will be months before they can draw conclusions about the campaign to secure Baghdad, and just more than half of the so-called surge of nearly 30,000 additional troops into the country have arrived. But at the same time, political pressure in the United States for quick results and a firm troop pullout date has become more intense than ever.

Of course, one of the things intensifying the pressure for quick results is articles that ask breathlessly why there has not yet been a political solution. Nevertheless, here is the piece de resistance:

Even as officials have sought to dampen the insurgency by trying to deal with Sunni Arab factions, those groups have become increasingly fractured. There are now at least a dozen major Sunni insurgent groups – many fighting other Sunnis as well as the Americans and the Shiite-led government. A deal made with any one or two would be unlikely to be acceptable to the others.

I realize that it’s nice to be able to negotiate a settlement. But seriously, if our enemies balkanize and start fighting among themselves, I thought that was actually a good thing. Clearly my lack of experience on the battlefield leaves me with a poor understanding of how wars are fought! Following this to its logical conclusion, we may have to prepare for a worst-case scenario: what if all of our enemies kill each other? Then all hope will be lost–since there’ll be no one with whom we can sign a negotiated settlement! P.P.S.: We see Mickey Kaus is poking holes in this story as well.

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