McCain’s Senate Seat

John Mercurio writes on the speculation over who will be appointed to the Senate to succeed either John McCain or Barack Obama. For the moment, I’m concerned only with McCain’s seat, since in the case of Barack Obama, a Democrat Governor will undoubtedly appoint a Democrat to succeed a Democrat. In Arizona however, things are a little bit trickier:

A state law requires [Governor Napolitano] to replace McCain with another Republican, but unlike other states that force governors to choose from a list drawn up by the party of the departing senator, she does have some discretion. With that in mind, will she choose a “weak” Republican who would face a strong Democratic challenge in 2010? Someone like, say, former Rep. J.D. Hayworth? Or will she select a party maverick, in the spirit of McCain, who would force the GOP into a bitter and expensive primary battle two years from now? (Rep. Jeff Flake’s name comes to mind.) Or will she choose a moderate like former Rep. Jim Kolbe?

This speculation is sound, as far as it goes. But I think Mercurio and others lack imagination in assuming that Napolitano will pick a ‘real’ Republican — one who will caucus with Republicans, support the Republican agenda, and back a Republican for Senate leader. She may not. If the law requires only that she appoint a Republican, why not name a RIRO — a Republican in Registration Only. After all, Arizona law does not require that Republican leaders approve her selection — or even take part in the process. She may appoint a liberal Republican, or even a Republican who would caucus with Senate Democrats.

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