The Democratic but pretty reliable firm Public Policy Polling shows Herman Cain surging to first place:
There are indications within the poll that Cain’s stay at the top could be short lived. Only 30% of his supporters are solidly committed to him with 70% saying they might still go on to support someone else. Those numbers aren’t much better for Romney, who only has 31% of his supporters solidly committed, or Gingrich, who only has 34% solidly committed. The strongest base of support among the Republican front runners- even if it’s shrinking- is Perry’s- 48% of his remaining backers say they’ll definitely vote for him. Overall 70% of Republicans are either undecided right now or open to voting for someone different than who they’re with now- that signals an extremely wide open race.
If Cain were to implode–like Bachmann and Perry before him–where would his supporters go? It seems they’re more likely to go back to Perry or break for someone like Gingrich rather than support Romney:
And that’s why Romney, whose poll numbers have been stuck in the 20s for months, is not the inevitable GOP presidential nominee.
