Per the post earlier today about McCain’s surprisingly strong recent numbers in national polls vis-Ã -vis Obama, your Cardinal says: don’t believe it. Those numbers will change. If, as I suspect, Obama prevails in both states tomorrow — or even in just Texas and Vermont — and HRC does indeed begin her final spiral to defeat, an even bigger Obama bounce will soon be in the works. He’ll pull ahead of McCain over the next few weeks. (It doesn’t help matters that the McCain insurgency has had essentially no message for the last three weeks.) Here is one early indicator of heavy weather to come: A trusted and wise GOP source told me that polling in today from a normally +10 Republican Congressional district in the midwest shows Obama +7 over McCain. Ouch. That said, I think McCain can still well prevail in the end, provided the McCain campaign pivots well for the general and runs on the right message. But in the short term the national polls are going to get worse for McCain, not better.
