We’ll have real votes to talk about soon enough, but here’s a final look at where the polls ended up in the 2014 Senate races.

Republicans are almost certain to pick up seats in South Dakota, Montana, West Virginia, and Arkansas, where they are leading their opponents by seven percentage points or more, according to the Real Clear Politics averages. Going back to 2004 (the first year for which RCP polling averages are available for Senate races), there’s only one race* where a U.S. Senate candidate led by more than 3 points in the final RCP average but lost the election.