Over the last several years people have been led to believe a number of ineluctable demographic truths, most of which turn out to be almost exactly wrong. (I wrote a book about this a few years back, which can loosely be summarized as: “Everything you think you know about demographics is wrong.”)
True to form, demographic trends continue to defy commonly held beliefs. For instance, it has long been an article of faith that the fertility rate of Hispanic-American women is so high that in the near term there will be a great shift in the racial makeup of America. But that shift has largely already been accomplished. Over the last 25 years the fertility rate of Hispanic women in America has fallen at a faster rate than any other demographic group.
