Everyone who has ever publicly released an election forecast has gotten pushback from readers. Honestly, it’s not a bad part of the job. We have a good forecast, so it’s fun to use that opportunity to explain our methodology, its strengths and weaknesses, its past accuracy, the uncertainty and why the projections look the way they do. And frankly I enjoy talking to the type of people who spend their limited free time digging into elections forecasts and asking good questions.
Most of the time I just answer those questions on Twitter, but I’ve gotten one piece of feedback that deserves some special attention: that the forecast seems to be contradicting itself.
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