Joe Biden has pushed passed President Trump in Arizona and reinforced his standing in a slew of other battleground states, according to new polling conducted during and after the national conventions.
Biden, the 2020 Democratic presidential nominee, has a double-digit advantage on Trump in Arizona, 52% to 42%, a Morning Consult poll released Tuesday found. Biden was trailing Trump in the state by 2 percentage points in the firm’s Aug. 7-16 survey.
Tuesday’s study of 943 likely Arizona voters, conducted during and after the Democratic and Republican conventions from Aug. 21 to Aug. 30, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 points.
In total, Morning Consult surveyed 17,813 likely voters in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin for its late August round of research.
Not including Arizona, Morning Consult’s polling found the state of the presidential race remained mostly unchanged compared to its earlier edition.
Biden led Trump in Michigan and Colorado by 10 points, while Trump was in front in Ohio by 5 points. Trump was also ahead in Texas, as was Biden in the other states, but those leads were within the studies’ margins of error of between 2 and 4 points.
.@MorningConsult polls show race unchanged except in Ariz where Biden widens lead
Ariz: Biden 52-42
Mich: Biden 52-42
Pa: Biden 49-45
Minn: Biden 50-43
Wis: Biden 52-43
Fla: Biden 49-47
Tex: Trump 48-47
OH: Trump 50-45
NC: Biden 49-47
Ga: Biden 49-46 https://t.co/l3pspbrhDd— Peter Baker (@peterbakernyt) September 1, 2020
Nationwide, Biden had an 8-point lead on Trump, 51% to 43%. That separate Morning Consult tracking poll surveyed about 12,000 likely voters between Friday and Sunday. Its results were on par with the group’s Aug. 14-16 study and put Biden in a better post-convention position to 2016 Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. Four years ago, Clinton was only in front of Trump by 3 points after the conventions.
Biden’s comfortable national berth in the Morning Consult polling can be compared to an Emerson College survey published Monday that had Trump behind Biden by only 2 points. But Morning Consult’s research better aligns with polling averages. RealClearPolitics puts Biden ahead by an average of 6.2 points, while the two-term vice president is in front by an average 7.1 points, according to FiveThirtyEight.
