Abortion is poised to disappoint President Joe Biden and congressional Democrats as a winning midterm election issue, according to a poll conducted after the Supreme Court reversed Roe v. Wade.
Roughly 56% of battleground voters polled by one Republican group last weekend after the Supreme Court ruled in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization cited economic issues as their top concern before November, including the cost of living, inflation, jobs, and unemployment. About 8% told Republican State Leadership Committee pollsters they considered abortion to be their more pressing concern, slightly less than the 9% who listed crime.
ANTI-ABORTION ADVOCATES BRACE FOR ROE V. WADE REVERSAL
Amid record-high inflation and gas prices, another 7% named the environment or climate change and guns, while 6% mentioned voting rights and 3% education.
“A little more than four months from Election Day, the political environment is still a disaster for state Democrats, state Republicans have a commanding lead on what is far and away the most important issue to voters, and the issues state Democrats are trying to exploit to distract from Biden’s failing economy are not going to be salient enough to save them,” RSLC president Dee Duncan wrote in a memo to state officials and candidates.
In the document, Duncan attributed Biden’s 41%-57% favorable-unfavorable rating and Republicans’ 47%-45% generic state legislative ballot advantage over Democrats to worsening personal financial situations and trust regarding Republican economic management.
“Of the likely voters that were surveyed, 51% said their personal finances are worse off than they were a year ago compared to just 13% who said they are better off,” he said. “That’s a 16% increase since when we asked the question in January when only 39% said their personal finances were worse off compared to the 17% who said they were better off.”
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The RSLC-Cygnal poll sought the opinions of 2,007 likely general election voters in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Maine, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Texas, Washington, and Wisconsin through an online panel from June 25-26. Its findings have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.19 percentage points.
