How the 2024 polls matched the final results

Published January 17, 2024 7:00am ET



With politicos quickly turning their attention to New Hampshire and South Carolina, analysis shows that Iowa pollsters were accurate in predicting the first-in-the-nation caucus — with one caveat.

The final RealClearPolitics polling average had former President Donald Trump running away with 53% of the vote, followed by former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley with 19% and Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) holding down third place at 16%.

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