The tragic shooting of an elementary school in Uvalde, Texas, in late May led predictably to another round of public debate about guns. Or, maybe better put, public screeching about guns. Progressives demanded stricter gun control laws. Some, such as Robert “Beto” O’Rourke of Texas, went so far as to call for the seizure of AR-15s. On the right, conservatives insisted on the inviolability of the Second Amendment.

Here’s a prediction you can take to the bank: The two sides will bicker pointlessly about this issue until Uvalde fades from the news. Nothing of substance will happen, nothing will change. People will get bored and go on to find something else to be outraged at each other about. Two weeks ago, it was abortion. A month ago, it was Ukraine. Three months ago, it was trans rights. We’re just about due for another round of Trump and Russia. Eventually, of course, another shooting will occur, and then, we will be back to yelling about guns.