The Supreme Court’s Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization decision, effectively ending a federal guarantee of abortion access, raised the stakes for both parties to win power in state capitals. Two years on, fierce battles for control of state legislatures are playing out nationally, to be decided on the same ballots, and likely influenced by, the White House rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump.

Political strategists identify six states where legislative control could flip. For Democrats, state-level gains would be a continuation of their strong election year in 2022, while Republicans want to reverse those blue gains.