The Supreme Court is gearing up for a dramatic end to its term next week, when it will decide remaining cases that will shape law and politics for years to come.
The remaining cases to be decided include two that have major implications for former President Donald Trump, who has already been found guilty in a New York criminal case but faces three other indictments ahead of the 2024 rematch against President Joe Biden.
Justices will continue to release more opinions on Friday, June 28 and Monday, July 1, marking the first time the high court has extended its term past the end of June since the 2020-21 term at the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Many of the high court’s major cases have already been decided as of June 27, including two surrounding abortion issues, a handful of gun rights cases, and pivotal free speech disputes.
The Supreme Court has yet to write the “rule for the ages” on whether former presidents enjoy some immunity from prosecution, and justices have also so far held off on major decisions that have the potential to sharply limit the powers of federal agencies.
Here’s what to know about the major cases that are still awaiting decisions:
Immunity for former presidents
Case: Trump v. United States
Issue: Whether Trump is immune from prosecution related to allegedly subverting the 2020 election.
Why it matters: If Trump wins complete immunity, it would bring an end to the 2020 election subversion indictment in Washington, D.C. If the Supreme Court sides with special counsel Jack Smith, who has won the immunity argument in two lower courts, the proceedings could resume. The justices signaled they could send the case back to lower courts for further fact finding as to what actions may or may not be protected.
Precedents: United States v. Nixon (1974) & Nixon v. Fitzgerald (1982).
Obstruction charges for Jan. 6 defendants
Case: Fischer v. United States
Issue: Whether federal prosecutors properly charged hundreds of Jan. 6 defendants, including Trump, using a law that makes it a crime to obstruct or impede an official proceeding. The proceeding prosecutors point to is the disruption of the congressional certification of Biden’s 2020 election victory on Jan. 6, 2021.
Why it matters: A ruling against the Justice Department could affect half of the charges against Trump and the cases of hundreds of Jan. 6 defendants, and it has the chance to result in numerous revised sentences for already-convicted defendants.
Municipality rights to ban homeless encampments
Case: City of Grants Pass v. Johnson
Issue: Whether Oregon’s ordinances against outdoor sleeping and camping violate the Eighth Amendment protections against cruel and unusual punishment.
Why it matters: The case examines the overlapping laws in Grants Pass, Oregon, which outlawed sleeping and camping in public places. A pair of homeless people sued the city, claiming the law violated their Eighth Amendment protections from “cruel and unusual” punishment. Typically, the Eighth Amendment is invoked to protect against punishments, not laws. The justices seemed open to taking the city’s side.
Social media platforms’ First Amendment rights
Cases: Moody v. NetChoice; NetChoice v. Paxton
Issue: Whether Florida and Texas can stop social media companies from removing posts based on their views.
Why it matters: The court appears divided on the extent to which content moderation should be allowed. On the one hand, they saw government-enforced moderation as questionable, particularly if it focused on content. On the other hand, they criticized the power exerted by Big Tech companies.
Power of federal agencies
Cases: Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo; Relentless v. Department of Commerce
Issue: Whether to overrule a long-standing precedent that tells courts to defer to agency interpretations when a law or statute is otherwise ambiguous. The case challenges a precedent known as the Chevron doctrine.
Why it matters: Chevron has been cited by the Supreme Court in major cases more than 70 times but has not been relied upon since 2016. Some conservative groups interested in the outcome say the power of the administrative state is too broad and that discretion by agencies leads to overregulation in areas including the workplace, public health, financial markets, and the environment.
Key precedent: Chevron v. Natural Resources Defense Council (1984)
Here are the major cases that have been decided:
Agency funding
Case: Consumer Financial Protection Bureau v. Community Financial Services Association of America
Issue: The lawsuit against the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau was brought by key players in the payday lending industry who say the CFPB is unconstitutionally funded by the Federal Reserve because most federal agencies receive appropriations from Congress.
Ruling: The court ruled 7-2 that Congress’s funding method for the consumer watchdog via direct routing from the Federal Reserve doesn’t violate the appropriations clause.
Why it matters: Although the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and other business interest groups supported the payday lenders, mortgage bankers and other sectors under CFPB regulation warned an inverse ruling could unsettle the markets.
Trump’s ballot eligibility
Case: Trump v. Anderson
Issue: Trump, the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, faced an onslaught of state-level lawsuits that sought to ban him from the ballot for his 2020 election denial and alleged attempts to overturn the election results.
Ruling: The court ruled 9-0 that states can’t bar Trump from running for another term.
Why it matters: The justices intervened after the Colorado Supreme Court became the first to remove Trump from the state’s ballot. The Supreme Court set a standard for the rest of the nation as other states considered advancing challenges similar to the one in Colorado.
Public officials blocking critics
Cases: Lindke v. Freed; O’Connor-Ratcliff v. Garnier
Issue: Can a public official be sued by a constituent the official has blocked on a government social media account?
Ruling: The court ruled 9-0 that public officials blocking users on social media only violates the First Amendment when the officials claim to be posting on the government’s behalf. It set a test that speech is attributable to the State “only if the official (1) possessed actual authority to speak on the State’s behalf, and (2) purported to exercise that authority when he spoke on social media.”
Why it matters: The question of whether officials should consider blocking users a First Amendment violation initially arose due to former President Donald Trump, but the case was not taken up due to the court considering it after Trump left office.
Employment discrimination
Case: Muldrow v. St. Louis
Issue: Whether Title VII requires an employee who has been transferred to a new job to prove in court that he or she has experienced a significant disadvantage, such as harm to his or her career or a change in salary or rank.
Ruling: The court ruled 9-0 to make it easier for workers to pursue employment discrimination claims over job transfers in ruling on a case involving a St. Louis policewoman who said she was reassigned due to sex discrimination.
Why it matters: Although the judgment was unanimous, three Republican-appointed justices — Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, and Brett Kavanaugh — wrote separate concurrences to explain how they came to the full judgment. Thomas said there was “little practical difference” between the new test and the standard application of Title VII by appeals court judges.
Gerrymandering
Case: Alexander v. South Carolina State Conference of the NAACP
Issue: Whether a South Carolina voting map is an unconstitutional racial gerrymander.
Ruling: The court ruled 6-3 that South Carolina can use a congressional map drawn by the GOP-led state legislature that a lower court said wrongly “exiled” black voters. The Republican-appointed majority on the court held that the challenges had not proved the lines were motivated by race, but rather they were prompted by partisan politics.
Why it matters: The Supreme Court held arguments in the case on Oct. 11 but held out on a decision until May 23, past the state’s April primary election race. The delay prompted the federal district court that ruled the Charleston-area district was racially gerrymandered to order that very map to be used in the 2024 election. The lower court order saves Rep. Nancy Mace (R-SC) from heading into the November election with an alternative map that may have been more favorable to Democrats.
NRA’s First Amendment rights
Case: National Rifle Association of America v. Vullo
Issue: Whether New York officials violated the First Amendment by discouraging business with the National Rifle Association.
Ruling: Justice Sonia Sotomayor wrote a unanimous opinion that found the NRA “plausibly alleged” that Maria Vullo, a former superintendent of New York‘s Department of Financial Services, illegally retaliated against the pro-Second Amendment group after the Parkland, Florida, high school mass shooting that left 17 people dead.
Why it matters: The NRA is suing Vullo, who the group alleges used her regulatory power to punish the group economically for its pro-gun stance in violation of the First Amendment. The result of the case means the NRA can continue its lawsuit against Vullo.
Abortion pills
Case: Food and Drug Administration v. Alliance for Hippocratic Medicine
Issue: Whether to overturn Food and Drug Administration guidelines for distributing an abortion pill by mail and telemedicine.
Ruling: The Supreme Court dismissed a challenge to the common abortion drug mifepristone, saying the plaintiffs lacked standing. The ruling means the drug, used in the majority of abortions, may continue to be prescribed online and shipped by mail, upholding recent regulatory changes made by the Food and Drug Administration. Anti-abortion activists have expressed hope that at least three separate challenges to the pill from Republican-led states could prompt further review of the FDA’s approval in the future.
Why it matters: The case is one of two focused on abortion this term after the Supreme Court gave states broader abilities to restrict abortion access in 2022. The ruling determined that mail-in and online access to the common abortion drug can remain in place. At least for now, the ruling also offers Supreme Court defenders a counterpoint to the Democratic narrative that the Republican-appointed majority is consistently eroding women’s rights.
Bump stocks for guns
Case: Garland v. Cargill
Issue: Whether the Trump administration’s bump stock ban was lawful.
Ruling: The Supreme Court struck down the bump stock ban, saying the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives stepped into territory that belongs to Congress when the ATF changed the rules on bump stocks.
Why it matters: The case was one of statutory interpretation, not of the Second Amendment. Did the ATF properly interpret a law banning machine guns when it extended that law to include a ban on bump stocks? The rule went into effect in 2019, forcing bump stock owners to surrender their devices or else face stiff fees and a felony carrying up to 10 years in prison. A majority of justices found that Congress would need to pass a law specifying that bump stocks are banned and that the ATF did not have the authority to expand existing law so broadly.
Second Amendment rights of domestic abusers
Case: United States v. Rahimi
Issue: Whether banning firearm possession for people under domestic violence restraining orders violates the Second Amendment.
Ruling: The Supreme Court upheld federal prohibitions on possession of firearms for those who are subjected to domestic violence restraining orders.
Why it matters: The justices ruled 8-1 that domestic violence offenders can have their Second Amendment rights suspended. The decision provided a chance to clear up confusion created by the Supreme Court’s 2022 Second Amendment decision, which set a test that courts must now follow to ensure that gun regulations are congruent with the nation’s history and tradition of firearms law. Lower courts have struggled with the new precedent, which requires deeper historical fact-finding.
Key precedent: New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen
Disinformation on social media
Case: Murthy v. Missouri (formerly Missouri v. Biden)
Issue: Whether the Biden administration’s efforts to counter misinformation amounts to censorship, and whether state and individual plaintiffs have standing to bring a lawsuit.
Ruling: The justices ruled 6-3 that the states and plaintiffs did not have standing to challenge the Biden administration’s censorship, effectively siding with the Biden administration.
Why it matters: The case centered on a high-profile lawsuit filed by Louisiana, Missouri, and other parties accusing officials in the Biden administration of relying on social media platforms to censor online viewpoints unconstitutionally, including conservative ideas and posts about COVID-19. Three of the conservative justices dissented from the majority opinion, written by Justice Amy Coney Barrett, that rejected the challenge and left the federal government’s censorship authority intact for now.
Emergency abortion care
Cases: Idaho v. United States; Moyle v. United States
Issue: Whether federal law mandating emergency stabilizing care overrides Idaho’s near-total abortion ban. The case came before the Supreme Court following Idaho’s appeal of an injunction placed on the state’s anti-abortion statute from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 9th Circuit. When the Supreme Court agreed to hear Idaho’s case in January, it overrode the lower body’s injunction, allowing the state’s abortion ban to take effect until a final decision is made in June.
Ruling: The Supreme Court formally dismissed an appeal over Idaho’s abortion ban in a per curiam decision, which effectively blocks enforcement of its law for now. The justices did not clarify that Emergency Medical Treatment and Active Labor Act requires emergency treatment in every state, meaning that similar challenges could persist in lower courts.
Why it matters: The Supreme Court’s decision could have significant implications for the 2024 elections, in which abortion is a leading concern among many voters. The issue could come before the justices again sooner rather than later, as another appeal is pending on its docket from Texas.
Cross-state air pollution
Case: Ohio v. Environmental Protection Agency
Issue: Whether to stop Biden’s plan requiring Western and Midwestern factories to reduce air pollution affecting Eastern states.
Ruling: The Supreme Court ruled 5-4 in a narrow decision in favor of states, trade associates, and companies that asked for a pause on the so-called good neighbor plan as litigation against it continues in lower court.
Why it matters: The nine justices were tasked with deciding whether to block the Environmental Protection Agency‘s regulatory “good neighbor” plan, which places strict emission limits on power plants and other industries in “upwind states.” Ohio, Indiana, and West Virginia filed an emergency request with the high court in October 2023, saying the EPA overstepped its authority by imposing those requirements.
Administrative courts
Case: Securities and Exchange Commission v. Jarkesy
Issue: Whether the Securities and Exchange Commission’s in-house administrative courts are legal.
Ruling: The 6-3 opinion by Chief Justice John Roberts held that people facing civil penalties from the SEC can seek to move their cases to a federal trial court and be tried by a jury rather than being forced to have their cases weighed by in-house administrative law judges.
Why it matters: Critics of the commission’s powers, such as hedge fund manager George Jarkesy, argued the authority of administrative law judges creates an unfair advantage in favor of the SEC’s position against people it targets for fines. The justices effectively pared back the SEC’s powers to conduct in-house adjudications without juries.
Opioids settlement
Case: Harrington v. Purdue Pharma
Issue: Whether a bankruptcy settlement shielding the Sackler family from liability in exchange for billions to fight the opioid crisis is legal.
Ruling: A 5-4 majority opinion by Justice Neil Gorsuch sided with the Biden administration‘s argument that Purdue Pharma’s settlement is an abuse of bankruptcy protections meant for debtors in financial distress, not for the wealthy family owners of the multibillion-dollar opioid company, who withdrew $11 billion from Purdue Pharma before agreeing to contribute $6 billion to its opioid settlement.
Why it matters: The Sackler family members, who own Purdue Pharma, have offered $6 billion to settle thousands of lawsuits alleging they fueled the opioid epidemic. The legality of the settlement is under scrutiny by the U.S. Trustee Program, which argues it allows the Sackler family members to evade accountability. But if the justices had allowed the deal to go forward, it would have transformed Purdue into a nonprofit organization and dedicated its billions of dollars to addiction and other treatment efforts while releasing the Sackler family owners from future civil liability.
Key cases and rulings
• Agency funding: 7-2 ruling
• Trump’s ballot eligibility: 9-0 ruling
• Public officials blocking critics: 9-0 ruling
• Employment discrimination: 9-0 ruling
• Presidential immunity
• Jan. 6 obstruction charges
• Abortion pills: 9-0 ruling
• Emergency abortion care 6-3 ruling
• Ban on homeless encampments
• Rights of social media platforms
• Social media and disinformation: 6-3 ruling
• NRA and the First Amendment: 9-0 ruling
• Opioid settlement 5-4 ruling
• South Carolina racial gerrymandering: 6-3 ruling
• Power of federal agencies
• Administrative courts 6-3 ruling
• Cross-state air pollution 5-4 ruling
• Trump-era bump stock ban: 6-3 ruling
Last updated June 27.