Petraeus: Troop Levels Headed Down

General Petraeus, in testimony today before the Senate Armed Services Committee, suggested that he will be able to recommend further troop reductions in the September time frame:

“My sense is that I will be able to make a recommendation at that time for further reductions,” Gen. David H. Petraeus told the Senate Armed Services Committee, saying his recommendation “could include major combat formations.” Petraeus is in the process of removing five brigades of U.S. troops brought in last year in a “surge” designed to stabilize the security of Iraq and buy time for political reconciliation among its warring factions. That will reduce force levels in Iraq to about 140,000 troops. During his testimony to Congress in April, he called for a 45-day pause at the end of July to assess the situation. Petraeus also said the United States “likely will do a bit more” with its troop commitments to Afghanistan, acknowledging the comments of U.S. commanders there of the need for more forces.

This would seem to further reduce the likelihood of Iraq becoming a major issue in the fall campaign. The Iraqi government will take over full responsibility for security by the end of the year. And given the sensitivity of the issue, it’s hard to imagine Petraeus entertaining lightly the idea of reducing troop levels unless he was convinced that such reductions were feasible without badly damaging the progress that has been made in the last year. If Iraq is largely stable and U.S. troops are out largely of harm’s way, would a President Obama remain committed to the idea of withdrawing our forces to another spot in the Middle East?

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