The End of MRAP?

Christian Lowe has an excellent piece on THE DAILY STANDARD today about the MRAP’s rapid fall from grace. Under the title “Another Casualty of the Surge,” Christian writes:

Finally sober minds are beginning to prevail and the services are finding the courage to push back. Let’s say the surge gave them the “breathing room” to take a moment to really examine whether these vehicles fit their battle plans or were, as one defense researcher termed them, just a “million dollar Kleenex.”

The WWS hopped on the MRAP bandwagon pretty early on, but by late spring we were already starting to look for the exits as the cost of the program ballooned and Congress made the vehicles into a political sledge hammer with which to beat on the Bush administration. At its high point, Congress was talking of spending upwards of $20 billion on the program, with Joe Biden leading the charge. But now that the surge has vastly reduced American casualties, and Anbar province hasn’t seen an American killed by IED in more than three months, these vehicles are rightly being reassessed as a niche tool for ordnance disposal and the clearing of major transportation routes. And while I’ve debated this issue with a number of folks, in particular Roggio, who seems to think that American troops are pretty eager to get their hands on the things, Michael Yon recently wrote that the troops may be having second thoughts as well:

On a slightly different topic, these new gigantic MRAPs (big bomb-resistant trucks) that are being fielded in Iraq seem to be largely ill-conceived. I do not possess that level of expertise, so I’m not making any recommendation on the MRAPs. But I can say that soldiers in Mosul and Baghdad seem to be viewing the MRAPs with a jaded eye. Yes, the MRAPs are said to offer much greater bomb protection, but given that they seem as tall as a double-decker bus in London, the MRAPs simply cannot travel down many of the roads in Baghdad or Mosul, where they would only rip down power wires like those depicted above.

In any event, there’s clearly been a decision within the Pentagon to slow things down a bit, and that seems like the right move to me–although the companies that make these things are reeling. Force Protection, which makes the Buffalo MRAP (pictured in Christian’s story), has seen its share price drop 50 percent since Monday.

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