It seems that Democrats are in full bore chase-Hillary-out-of-the-race mode. Are they eager to see her quit the race because she may wind up the leader in votes cast in the Democratic primaries, or despite it?
Read the whole piece to see Barone’s assumptions. The conclusion rests on his accurately estimating the victory margins in the 9 remaining Democratic primaries. The final tally is close enough that a small deviation could flip the total to Obama. However, if Clinton wins the popular vote, then she has an inarguably legitimate claim to superdelegates that they would be following the people’s will in selecting her. If she can make a plausible electability argument — and all indications are that she can — then the stage could be set for a surprise from the superdelegates. If Barone’s math turns out to be accurate, Howard Dean is in for a world of trouble.
