Super Tuesday confirmed two trends that had been somewhat evident prior to yesterday. First, while there is an ideological dimension to this contest – with very conservative voters backing Rick Santorum or Newt Gingrich and less conservative voters backing Mitt Romney – there is also a regional dynamic overlaid atop this. Put another way, Romney does better or worse among voters in any given state the more conservative they are, but in different regions he will do systematically among all ideological groups.
To appreciate this, let’s break down the exit polls by region, and then by ideological groups. We’ll look at Romney’s margin of victory or defeat over his nearest opponent.
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