At the start of the 2022 election cycle, many Republicans were confident the redistricting process alone could net enough seats to overturn the Democratic majority in place since January 2019.

“We have redistricting coming up and the Republicans control most of that process in most of the states around the country. That alone should get us the majority back,” Rep. Ronny Jackson, a Texas Republican, crowed at a June 2021 Faith and Freedom Coalition event in his home state.