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Ohio Poll: Trump 48, Clinton 43

By John McCormack

A new Bloomberg poll shows Trump leading Hillary Clinton by 5 points in Ohio:

The Republican nominee leads Clinton 48 percent to 43 percent among likely voters in a two-way contest and 44 percent to 39 percent when third-party candidates are included. The poll was taken Friday through Monday, as Clinton faced backlash for saying half of Trump supporters were a “basket of deplorables” and amid renewed concerns about her health after a video showed her stumbling as she left a Sept. 11 ceremony with what her campaign later said was a bout of pneumonia.

A YouGov/CBS poll conducted just before Clinton’s bad weekend showed Clinton with a 7-point lead over Trump in Ohio, while a Quinnipiac poll conducted just before that showed Trump up 4 points. In the Real Clear Politics average, Trump now leads Clinton by 0.5 percentage points in Ohio.

Ohio is a key battleground state, but Trump could take Ohio, Florida, Nevada, and Iowa and still fall short in the Electoral College if he doesn’t win one more battleground state, such as Colorado, Virginia, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, or New Hampshire (as well as Maine’s Second Congressional District).

Nate Silver notes that the race is “highly competitive”:

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