1. Latest Sign of the Dempocalypse.  CNN’s generic ballot numbers are just rotten for Democrats. The GOP leads 52-45 among registered voters. Republicans even have a lead of 49-44 among “adults.” Unfortunately, there are no cross-tabs breaking down support by party affiliation, but you can’t produce numbers like this in a poll of registered voters without the Democrats getting crushed among Independent voters.

That, I think, will be one of the biggest stories of the 2010 midterm — the bolt of the Independents from the Democratic coalition.  Independents were pro-GOP in 2002, slightly Democratic in 2004, then strongly Democratic in 2006 and 2008.  This year they are trending back toward the Republican Party.