Nadler widens lead over Maloney in final days of incumbent-on-incumbent primary: Poll


Rep. Jerry Nadler is leading his colleague Rep. Carolyn Maloney in the polls days before New York voters cast their ballots in a primary election that pits two incumbent Democrats against one another.

Nadler’s lead over Maloney in the 12th District race has widened to almost 20 points, according to a survey of likely voters conducted by Emerson College, PIX11, and the Hill. Nineteen percent of voters remained undecided, while newcomer Siraj Patel pulled in 14% of the likely vote. The poll, which has a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points, was conducted between Aug. 12-17 among 895 likely Democratic voters.

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“In the final week of the primary election, Nadler has solidified his base of support, Patel has gained traction, while Maloney has lost her base of women voters,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “Back in May, Maloney led Nadler among women by 15 points, which narrowed to a 2-point lead in early August, and now, in the final week of the primary, Maloney is losing women to Nadler by 12 points.”

Forty-three percent said they would vote for Nadler, compared to 24% who were planning to vote for Maloney next Tuesday. When the poll projected how the undecided 19% would shake out, Nadler’s share of the vote jumped to 51%, and Maloney’s increased to 29%.

A poll from earlier this month showed Nadler 9 points ahead of Maloney. Since then, Nadler received the endorsement of Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) and the New York Times, which may have contributed to his boost.

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Redistricting of New York City’s 12th District forced Nadler and Maloney to run for reelection against each other. Both have high favorability ratings in the district, with 76% of respondents saying they had a very or somewhat favorable view of Nadler and 66% saying the same of Maloney. The two have similar voting records and have both served in Congress since the early 1990s. Nadler is chairman of the House Judiciary Committee, while Maloney chairs the House Oversight Committee.

The Washington Examiner reached out to Nadler’s campaign for comment but did not receive a response.

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