Florida poll with Biden ahead a warning sign for Trump

Published April 22, 2020 9:43pm ET



Joe Biden is ahead in another poll surveying Florida voters, a potential problem for President Trump’s reelection campaign.

Biden, the presumptive 2020 Democratic presidential nominee, notches up 46% support in Florida to Trump’s 42%, according to a Quinnipiac University poll published Wednesday.

Florida’s 29 Electoral College votes are critical to Trump’s efforts to secure the 270 he needs to reclaim the White House in November.

Yet in Quinnipiac’s survey, Biden has an edge over Trump with independents, who could swing the contest. The two-term vice president draws 44% of the group, while the incumbent attracts 37%. Biden also has an advantage on Trump when it comes to voters older than 65, winning the demographic 52% to 42%. In 2016, Trump dominated the age bracket with 57% to then-Democratic opponent Hillary Clinton’s 40%.

“Even in the midst of an unprecedented health crisis, Florida delivers a familiar deja vu in the head-to-head presidential race. It’s Biden, but it’s close as independents play a huge potential role. Sound familiar?” Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy said.

Biden’s narrow lead in Quinnipiac’s study reflects his 3.4 percentage point berth in RealClearPolitics‘s polling average.

A boon for Trump in Wednesday’s research was he registered a favorability high of 43% to 50% of those who viewed him unfavorably. Biden, in comparison, has a favorability rating of 43% to 40%. The president, however, could still be hamstrung by low job approval numbers, with 45% approving to 51% disapproving.

The Quinnipiac University poll quizzed 1,385 self-identified registered Florida voters from April 16-20 via landlines and cellphones. Its results have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points.