Almost one-third of black voters would vote for President Trump “if the presidential election was held today,” according to a new survey.
On Thursday, Rasmussen Reports, which typically produces Trump’s preferred surveys, showed the number steadily increased from 27% to 31% since Monday. The company has boasted of accurately predicting the results of the 2016 election.
According to Rasmussen’s White House Watch poll, also released Thursday, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden holds a 1 point lead over Trump among likely voters, with only 2% answering they were undecided.
The poll was conducted Oct. 26-28 among 1,500 people with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. Trump had an identical lead ahead of Biden one day earlier.
Oct 29, 2020 – Morning Reader Data Points:
“If the presidential election was held today, would you vote for Donald Trump or Joe Biden?”
National Daily Black Likely Voter % For @POTUS – October 26-29, 2020
Mon 10/26 – 27%
Tue 10/27 – 30%
Wed 10/28 – 30%
Thu 10/29 – 31%— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) October 29, 2020
Other polls show the president not far off from Rasmussen’s data. According to a CNN poll conducted from Oct. 23-26, Trump earned 24% of support from people of color.
Trump earned similar support from black voters following the Republican National Convention this summer, according to a Hill-HarrisX poll. That poll shows Trump with a 24% and 32% approval rating from black voters and Hispanic voters, respectively.
With only five days until the election, over 79 million voters have already cast their ballots. Within the week prior to the election, Catalist, a data and analytics company for Democrats, found black voters have expanded their share of ballots cast in this election compared with the last election cycle in key states, including Florida and Michigan. In Florida, that number has grown to 13% so far compared to 12% in 2016. In Michigan, black voters account for 12% of ballots cast compared to 8% in 2016.
