Oil rises above $38 after overnight drop

Published February 9, 2009 5:00am ET



SINGAPORE – Oil prices crept above $38 a barrel Wednesday in Asia as a $1 trillion U.S. bank rescue plan failed to convince investors in crude and equities that the government can revive an ailing financial system.

Light, sweet crude for March delivery rose 60 cents to $38.15 a barrel by midday in Singapore on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell $2.01 overnight to settle at $37.55.

Investors balked Tuesday at Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner’s plan to restore confidence to credit markets, saying the package lacked key specifics.

The plan calls for a government-private sector partnership to help remove banks’ soured assets from their books and unclog the credit markets that govern loans to consumers and businesses.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 4.6 percent Tuesday.

“Oil is following the stock market,” said Clarence Chu, a trader at market maker Hudson Capital Energy in Singapore. “Oil could fall further if there’s more really bad economic news, but I don’t think it will go below $30.”

Oil had been trading near $40 for about two weeks, underpinned by OPEC production cuts. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, which accounts for about 40 percent of global crude supply, said earlier this week it has completed about 80 percent of 4.2 million barrels per day of output cuts announced since September.

“OPEC is following through, and that’s supporting prices,” Chu said.

Some crude investors have taken heart from the fact that oil prices have not retested five-year lows of $33 a barrel, hit in December, despite an avalanche of dismal economic and corporate news in the last month.

“Even with the bad news so far, the oil market isn’t tanking,” Chu said. “It’s a signal we could be at a bottom.”

Chu said he expects oil to trade between $30 and $50 a barrel in the first half before rising above $50 in the second as demand recovers.

In other Nymex trading, gasoline futures rose 1.91 cents to $1.26 a gallon. Heating oil gained 0.70 cent to $1.31 a gallon, while natural gas for March delivery fell 2.3 cents to $4.52 per 1,000 cubic feet.

In London, the March Brent contract rose 39 cents to $45 on the ICE Futures exchange.