Polls: Pennsylvania Senate Race Tied

Published November 4, 2012 5:35pm ET



Two recent polls maintain that Republican Tom Smith of Pennsylvania is statistically tied with his Democratic opponent, Bob Casey Jr., in the race for the U.S. Senate. The first poll, an internal Smith poll released Friday, shows the candidates tied at 46 percent. The second, a Susquehanna Research poll conducted for the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review, found Casey’s lead down to just 1 point, 46 percent to 45 percent. Here’s more from the Tribune-Review:

Those figures show stagnation for Casey but a 4-point gain for Smith since a Trib-commissioned poll Sept. 12.
The more recent poll of 800 people from Oct. 29-31 has a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.
“The momentum has clearly gone to Smith,” said Susquehanna President Jim Lee. He argued Casey made “a near-fatal” mistake by allowing Smith a chance to cast his political persona.
“You never allow the challenger to define himself or herself on his own terms,” Lee said.

Smith, a political neophyte from Western Pennsylvania, had to define himself, too:

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