Is Mitch McConnell already losing his reelection campaign? That’s what a new poll from the Louisville Courier-Journal released Tuesday suggests. According to the survey of 609 registered voters in Kentucky, just 17 percent say they would vote to reelect the Republican and Senate minority leader, with 34 percent saying they will vote against him. Forty-four percent, meanwhile, say they will “wait and see” who will challenge McConnell in 2014 before making a decision. The firm Survey USA conducted the poll for the newspaper.

Other news outlets have highlighted the poll as a sign the senior senator from Kentucky is in for a tough reelection battle. But a campaign spokesman for McConnell, who will be seeking his sixth term in the Senate next year, says the Courier-Journal‘s conclusions from the poll are bogus.