Donald Trump is not going to quit the race. The Republican party is not going to push him off the ballot. He may have a brief surge in the polls at some point, because the first rule of politics is that all races tighten.

Then again, maybe not. It could be that Trump’s surge came and went during the final week of July and that the tightening period has already passed. But while we’re talking about things that are not going to happen, understand this: Donald Trump is not going to win.