Rasmussen: Election is Trump’s to lose, and he’s doing that, 40% to Biden’s 50%

The outfit was also the latest to suggest that the election is a referendum on Trump — and thus his to win or lose.

Separately, it said that 51% are more likely to vote against Trump, with 44% more likely to vote for him.

Team Trump remains confident, however. They note that there is pent-up anger in the country over how the media treats him and also a backlash to the riots and targeting of U.S. history. Trump also believes that 2020’s polling is repeating 2016’s error in not accounting for his “silent majority” of supporters.

Still and significantly, according to the survey, most of those planning to vote against Trump don’t care who the Democratic nominee is — a big benefit for Biden, who still lacks voter enthusiasm.

“That’s potential good news for Democrats who appear about to choose former Vice President Joe Biden as their nominee,” read the polling analysis. “Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters think Biden is suffering from some form of dementia, and 61% believe it is important for him to address the dementia issue publicly.”

While polls are always under attack from partisans, Rasmussen has won respect from GOP critics because it slightly oversamples Democrats and also black people. Still, it has over time found a higher job approval of Trump than most others. Trump has often touted the results.

(Image courtesy of Rasmussen Reports)

Because of that, Rasmussen has sometimes come under fire, and critics instead like to cite Gallup. But the two poll from different pools (Rasmussen with likely voters and Gallup with adults), and likely voters are considered a more accurate gauge.

In its 2020 race survey, 1,500 likely voters were surveyed, a higher number than most polls’ average.

Rasmussen said the new survey is part of its new “White House Watch” feature that will appear weekly until Election Day.